Excerpt:

This study offers support for causal linkages between perceptual biases and selective attention on the path of marriage.

Journal of Family Psychology

Vol. 14.1 (2000): 42.

Carrère, Sybil Buehlman, Kim T. Gottman, John M. Coan, James A. Ruckstuhl, Lionel

A longitudinal study with 95 newlywed couples examined the power of the Oral History Interview to predict stable marital relationships and divorce. A principal components analysis of the interview with the couples (Time 1) identified a latent variable, perceived marital bond, that was significant in predicting which couples would remain married or divorce within the first 5 years of their marriage. A discriminant function analysis of the newlywed oral history data predicted, with 87.4% accuracy, those couples whose marriages remained intact or broke up at the Time 2 data collection point. The oral history data predicted with 81% accuracy those couples who remained married or divorced at the Time 3 data collection point. This study offers support for causal linkages between perceptual biases and selective attention on the path of marriage.